Tuesday July 22 pick

Race 1

#6 DOHA was awfully game to prevail on June 27 off a long layoff. She’s perfect at Colonial and would appear to have a great shot to keep that record intact today. #7 SHORE GIRL wins this easily if she’s back to her best but she’s run two straight subpar races. #1 SPREADIN JOY won very impressively at this course and distance in her last start, but that was over a year ago.

Suggested bet: Win - 6

Race 2

#4 HOME SKILLET ran huge in his debut, almost running down a loose on an easy lead pacesetter despite breaking slow and going wide. #7 RABBITOUTOFMYHAT has a good win-early turf pedigree and is in good hands with the meet’s leading trainer and rider. #1 HOLLYS SONG is another firster with a win-early pedigree.

Suggested bet: Pick-3 – 4 w/ 2,4,5,7 w/ 1,3,7

Race 3

#4 TROLL BRIDGE can take advantage of what should be a fast pace if he moves forward as expected in his second start of the year. #2 ON MY DIME should also move forward in his second race off a layoff after flattening out a bit last time. #5 DELTA MOON ran well against much tougher last time. #7 WILD PAL is a reasonable but likely overbet favorite in a wide-open race.

Suggested bet: Exacta box – 4 w/ 2,5,7

Race 4

#7 DOUBLE ENVOY is a well-bred first-time starter backed by a high-percentage trainer/jockey combination. #3 SPIRITOFSTEELE comes off two very game seconds. He’s clearly good enough but his best races were at much longer distances than today’s. #1A UNDENIABLE SIN would be no surprise after a good second behind an extremely heavy favorite at this level last time.

Suggested bet: Pick- 4 – 1,3,7 w/ 3,5 w/ 7 w/ 1,2,5

Race 5

#3 NIGHT PASSAGE gets the critical drop to maiden claiming ranks for the first time and should get a perfect setup with all the speed in this race. #5 BLINK AND DANCE has run off to take huge leads through blistering fractions before tiring in both of his Colonial races. Perhaps new rider Luis Garcia can convince him to rate today. #6 PRIMERO PERU should appreciate the return to turf.

Suggested bet: Exacta box – 3,5,6

Race 6

#7 BOPOLENE is the only filly in here with proven ability to win from off the pace. Breaking from the outside, she should be able to rate off the duel and finish best of them all. #6 PICTUREMEWITHROSES showed a lot of talent in her debut. She’s been off for a while but a great work on July 12 indicates that she’s ready to fire fresh.

Suggested bet: Win – 7

Race 7
#5 FISHERMAN DUKE needs the lead and it looks like he’ll get it here. #1 BABO is a steadily improving 3yo who should get a nice ground saving trip from the rail. #2 SEAWEED JACKSON won a key race two back but couldn’t get the job done at 2-5 last time.

Suggested bet: Pick-3 – 1,2,5 w/ 6 w/ 1,3

Race 8

#6 GOLDEN ORB has the complete first-time starter package – solid pedigree, works, trainer and jockey. #1 SHEZA WONDER switches back the dirt in search of an elusive first win. She’s the best show bet in the race after 7 2nds and 4 3rds in 21 starts. #7 SALTWATER COWGIRL ran well in her debut. She should move up with that experience and the cutback in distance.

Suggested bet: Exacta – 6 w/ 1,7

Race 9

#1A LITHGOWCONCERNWISH couldn’t chase down a loose on the lead winner last time but should have an easier time today with the slight drop in class. #3 GRAMMATELLI didn’t show much on turf but acquitted herself well on dirt earlier this year, splitting the fields against tougher.

Suggested bet: Exacta box – 1,3