#2 S’NO SURRENDER makes his debut in an relatively easy spot for a good first-out trainer. He has a solid turf pedigree and reasonable enough works to support any optimism today. #7 ONE SUNDAY should flash speed and be awfully close at the wire for third straight time. #6 GATOR AT THE GATE ran well on turf against MSW foes in his career debut and finally gets back to the lawn today. #4 ROSEY’S MO made a promising debut last fall, overcoming a bad break to finish fourth behind two next-out winners. Career start #2 has been a long time coming but he’s bred to move up on turf and has been working steadily for her belated return.
Suggested bet: Exacta box – 2 w/ 4,6,7
#3 OH MY ME MY loves this course and distance and is obviously sharp after a dominating win against similar last time. #1 THE BOHEMIAN suffered from less than ideal trips in both his last two races. He should show real improvement with an inside draw and a fairly significant class drop today. #4 CHIEF COMMANDER has lost two straight in agonizing fashion, looking like a winner before losing by a neck both times. He should be right in the thick of it again as the favorite today. #7 INSTICTIVELY almost stole a win against similar last time, running free on a slow pace, and there’s not much speed in here either. #8 WE HOPE fits but lost to the top choice two back and loses Karamanos.
Suggested bet: Pick-3 – 1,3,4 w/ 1 w/ 1,2,4,6,7
#1 FESTIVE MOMENT drops down from a particularly salty n3L race last time that produced a couple of horses that came back to win against tougher. An advantageous inside post position and stretch-out today only add to the appeal. #6 BRADYS GRIN also drops from n3L company, where she was a good third last time. #7 SADU has five exacta finishes in nine starts but must improve in her turf debut to handle the top two.
Suggested Bet: Exacta box – 1,6
A reasonable case can be made for all nine entrants in this wide-open affair, but with a number of speed horses battling for position through a short run into the first turn it may pay to favor the closers. #7 RESCIGNO was closer than usual to a slow pace while racing wide last time. He still finished fast to get third behind some tough customers and should be even better today with added fitness and a better pace scenario. #1A GOLD HOUSE is four for five at Colonial, including two straight wins this season against some of today’s rivals. #1 BRICKELL has been second to two tough rivals this season and has the perfect style for today’s race. #2B SPRING HONOR got a weak figure last time but the slow pace that day certainly affected the time and he’s run fast enough to win this on several occasions. #2 BRESCELLO had a couple of legitimate excuses last time and figures to be tougher on the drop. #6 HEZA DISCO freaked at Colonial last year but the need-the-lead type figures to be hampered today. #4
Suggested bet: 10 cent super – 1,2,7 w/ 1,27 w/ 1,2,4,6,7 w/ 1,2,4,6,7
#3 NIGERA could not have looked better winning his last by four lengths over two impressive next-out winners. This looks like a perfect spot for a repeat victory. #4 SOOOZ would be almost impossible to beat at her best. The 7yo drops all the way from 1x allowance company to $5,000 today after an unimpressive return to the races on opening day. She was caught wide from post 11 that day and certainly must be respected. #1 NUN TOO NICE jumped up to win at 70-1 last time but that was going two-turns on the Pimlico main track. Hard to take her over the top two but she has run well in turf sprints before and will be double-digit odds again today.
Suggested bet: Win - 3
Race 6#4 WHAT SHE SAID was a good 2yo on the grass. Any of her three turf tries would be good enough and it’s perfectly logical to expect her to be even better now as a 3yo. #1 MISS MORGANA looked like a winner after 5 furlongs last time. She should be awfully tough with the cutback in distance and added fitness gleaned from that first race in nine months. #2 RUNFORRENEE won by four the last time she was entered for a tag. She obviously likes the course and distance and should get plenty of speed to run at today. #3 ROBIN DES VAULT ran well in both turf races despite outside posts. She should get a perfect stalking trip today from a nice middle draw.
Suggested bet: Exacta box – 4 w/ 1,2,3
#4 BOPOLENE survived a pace duel to finish a surprise second in a stakes four weeks ago. She’s obviously quite good right now and finds a good spot to get a win today. #2 LADY IN ERMINE dominated maidens last time but was DQed. She certainly ran well enough to win this tougher race and her connections are confidently skipping another presumably easier race against maidens for this spot. #3 HORTICULTURE gives turf another try after encountering trouble going two turns on the lawn last time. She should appreciate the cutback today and finish much stronger at a big price. #7 JE SUIS PREST has been knocking at the door for a while at this level. She’ll get plenty of pace to flatter her late kick today. #1 ENJOYABLE will also be closing late.
Suggested bet: Pick-3 – 2,3,4 w/ 4,11 w/ 1,5
#11
Suggested bet: Exacta box – 4,10,11
#1 BRAHMS MELODY ran into a freak last time but acquitted himself well with a closing second to Whata Monster. He won for $10,000 before that and looks extremely tough on the drop to $5,000 today, where he’ll get a perfect setup closing into a fast pace. #5 SET CAMP has been ultra-tough on dirt at Charles Town but has been off for three months and has never tried turf before. He’ll be on lead and could prove tough to catch if he does take to the lawn. #6 FREE CLASS has been competitive against tougher than it appears competition in both starts this season.
Suggested bet: Trifecta – 1,5 w/ 1,5,6 w 1,2,5,6
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